Gold, commodities, oil and emerging markets underperformed the market this last few weeks. So far, Oil is down more than 20% from its July high with demand destruction being touted as the driver for reduced energy consumption.
Without going into details, I believe that this 4 sectors will continue to outperform the market. At least for the long term. Short term, we might see some depreciation but long term the rest of the world has bought into the American dream.
Lifestyles overseas, especially in emerging markets, are improving and the luxuries of yesteryear's are now the basic necessities of tomorrow. More people are moving into urban areas and they are embracing materialism or consumerism made in America.
Health-care and Tech are two areas that will also continue to perform well in addition to the four sectors that I have mentioned. As far as commodities, Russia and Canada will be the best performing economies as their economies are based on production of natural resources.
Unfortunately Russia is one of the most unstable democracies. Vladmir Putni seems to have a destabilizing effect on the country and this is evident in the current skirmish with Georgia. Like Hugo Chavez, the guy seems to have little respect for private property and has no regard for the rule of law.
As for Africa, South Africa will continue to dominate the continent as it is the most industrialized and also has a stable democracy. On the downside, Thambo Mbeki's successor, Jacob Zuma is seen as the biggest risk their continued economic prosperity.
Those looking to invest in the above mentioned countries can do so through the following ETFs; iShares MSCI South Africa Index (EZA), Market Vectors Russia (RSX) and iShares MSCI Canada Index (EWC).