Thursday, May 31, 2007

Making Cash Out Of Trash


"We must continue investing in new methods of producing ethanol -- using everything from wood chips to grasses, to agricultural wastes.” - President George Bush, 2007 State of the Union address.

With high corn prices holding US ethanol producers captive, the race is on to find an alternative way to produce ethanol to meet the ever increasing energy demand for alternative fuels. To this end there are several companies that are looking into commercialization of various ethanol producing technology. One such company, BlueFire Ethanol Inc is seeking to take the lead in the cellulose to ethanol production process. BFRE, which currently trades on the the pink sheets, uses Arkenol Inc patented process to convert post sorted municipal waste, wood waste, rice and wheat straws and other agricultural residues to produce ethanol.

Arkenol's process separates the biomass from waste into cellulose and hemi-cellulose (the main building blocks of plant life) and lignin (the "glue" that holds the building blocks together), converts the cellulose and hemi-cellulose to sugars, ferments them and purifies the fermentation liquids into ethanol and other end-products. This novel process has not been commercialized but has been tested in bio-refinery pilot plants in Japan and California. To this end BFRE has identified El Sobrante Landfill, located in California, where it intends to build its first bio-refinery. The commercial plant is expected to start producing ethanol in 2009 and the company is not expected turn any profits before then. Once BFRE opens its bio-refinery, its profitabilty will depend on the cost of inputs and price of ethanol produced conventionally from corn or sugar cane.

On the other hand, BFRE's licence with Arkenol allows for its CEO to have his cake and eat it. Arnold Klann, BFRE's CEO, is also the owner of Arkenol Inc. This relationship allows him to profit from BFRE even if it does not make any profits while he collects payments, royalties and fees associated with the commercialization and production of ethanol using Arkenol's technology. Although he has invested a lot of equity into both BFRE and Arkenol, he stands to gain the most from the exclusive licencing agreement between the two companies.

The fact that BFRE is a development stage company and it trades on the pink sheets makes it a speculative investment. As such, the stock price will experience a lot of volatility as it continues with the construction and subsequent commercialization of its cellulose to ethanol bio-refinery.

4 comments:

Kim said...

If ethanol is the alternative to our addiction to oil, then those corn (maize) growers in places such as Kitale, Kenya should value their labor. Perhaps Unga group which is mainly involved in the milling of wheat and maize, manufacture of cooking oils, breakfast cereals, animal feeds and related products should read this blog. I don't understand why it is not getting the raves.

Ssembonge said...

Kim, ethanol can be a big boon to kenyan farmers but the rest of the country will bear the brunt of high corn/maize prices.

Farmers would rather have their produce milled for ethanol rather than for ugali.

MainaT said...

Blogged about ethanol, but sourced from sugar in my case. Corn is of course another source for the same. As an aside was reading an article today on soft commodities (corn, wheat etc) saying that price-wise, these will be the next gold because countries like China, are finding themselves stretched on supply.
As for Kenya, we can't even move corn from West to North Eastern so have a long way to go.

Ssembonge said...

MainaT, Sugar cane/beet has got more 'sugar' than corn and thus produces more ethanol per acreage. Because of ethanol, farming in the midwest has become very lucrative.

Voters (ooops, my bad) I mean farmers have never been happier.